EBRD raises Poland's 2026 growth forecast to 3.7% on strong investment and easing inflation, underpinned by EU funds absorption and resilient consumption.
The European Bank for Reconstruction and Development has upgraded its forecast for Poland's 2026 GDP growth to 3.7%, a 0.3 percentage point increase from its previous estimate. The revision reflects robust public investment, supported by heightened absorption of European Union funds, along with steady private consumption. Poland's economy grew by an estimated 3.6% in 2025, the fastest pace since 2022, as fixed investment rebounded strongly. Inflation has eased to around 2.4% by end‑2025, close to the central bank's target. The outlook for 2027 is 3.0% growth, with continued reliance on EU‑financed infrastructure and energy‑transition projects.
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