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IMF Forecasts India GDP Growth Moderating Amid Prolonged US Tariffs

IMF projects India's real GDP growth at 6.6% in FY2025-26 and 6.2% in FY2026-27 under a prolonged 50% US tariffs scenario, signaling external headwind risks.

The International Monetary Fund (IMF) has projected India's real GDP growth at 6.6% for FY2025-26 and a moderation to 6.2% for FY2026-27, assuming a prolonged 50% US tariff regime. This scenario highlights potential vulnerability to external trade shocks, particularly US import restrictions, which could dampen export‑driven sectors and reduce foreign investment inflows. While domestic conditions remain supportive, the baseline outlook is contingent on management of tariff-related disruptions and sustained policy measures to offset external headwinds.
Status
active
Location
India
Date added
2026-04-01 03:08 UTC
Added by
dinaasiaapdrmis
Last updated
2026-04-01 03:08 UTC
Source
https://www.ndtv.com/india-news/imf-forecasts-robust-6-6-growth-for-india-despite-headwinds-us-tarif
Connected threats
  • Not Available

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